All the money has been for Galway to beat Dublin in a must-win Leinster round-robin match in Parnell Park on Saturday evening.  They have been backed from 4/6 to 8/15 with Coral. But is this just blind faith. 

Galway lead the table on five points, one ahead of Kilkenny and Wexford and two ahead of Dublin. A draw or a win would book Galway a place in the Leinster final. Dublin need to win to give themselves a real chance of reaching the final.

If Dublin win and Wexford and Kilkenny draw, all four teams will be on five points, in which case the placings would be based on scoring difference. In that event, Galway would be eliminated from the All-Ireland race as the other three have higher scoring differences.

LAST FIVE CHAMPIONSHIP MEETINGS

2018: Galway 0-26 Dublin 2-19 (Leinster ’round robin)’ 2017: Galway 2-28 Dublin 1-17 (Leinster quarter-final) 2015: Galway 5-19 Dublin 1-18 (Leinster quarter-final) Replay 2015: Dublin 0-20 Galway 1-17 (Leinster quarter-final)

2013: Dublin 2-25 Galway 2-13 (Leinster final)

Galway beat Dublin by 0-20 to 1-11 in this year’s Allianz League in Pearse Stadium. Dublin’s last win over Galway in the championship was in the 2013 Leinster final. This will be only the tenth championship match between the counties, with Dublin leading 5-3 while there was one draw in the previous nine.

Top scorers for both counties after three rounds are as follows

Dublin: Paul Ryan 0-20 (0-12 frees, 0-1’65’); Sean Moran 2-4 (1-1 pens, 1-1 frees), Eamonn Dillon 2-3.

Galway: Cathal Mannion 0-12 (0-1 free); Jason Flynn 0-12 (0-5 frees, 0-1 ’65’); Conor Whelan 1-9.

Match Betting

When the betting for this match was opened on Monday all companies went 4/6 but now the best price is 8/13 with William Hill, but Coral and Paddy power have gone 8/15.  You can back Dublin at 2/1 with Paddypower

Handicap Betting

Best price available now is 5/6 with William Hill on Galway -2pts, if you fancy Dublin you can get them +3 at 10/11 with Boylesports.

Total Points/Weather

It’s under/over 48.5 which looks just about right, there is expected to be a few showers but not enough to affect the scoring. If we had to give some advice probably overs is the way to go.

Team News

Galway are still with Joe Canning, but last week many of there players stood up to the mark, so we will have to wait for the Leinster final to see the Joe Show. Darren Morrissey comes in at right cornerback for the suspended John Hanbury, while Johnny Coen is named to start at center-field with Sean Loftus from last weekend’s win over Kilkenny. David Burke partners Coen in the middle of the park while Jason Flynn leads the attack from full-forward, flanked by Conor Whelan and Brian Concannon.

Darragh O’Connell will wear the number seven jersey in place of Barrett, while Fergal Whitely comes in for the injured Paul Ryan up front.

Dublin : Alan Nolan; Paddy Smyth, Eoghan O’Donnell, Cian Hendricken; Chris Crummey, Sean Moran, Darragh O’Connell; Sean Treacy, Tom Connolly; Conal Keaney, Danny Sutcliffe, Cian Boland; Fergal Whitely, Ronan Hayes, Eamonn Dillon.

Galway : Colm Callanan; Darren Morrissey, Daithi Burke, Aidan Harte; Padraic Mannion, Gearoid McInerney, Joseph Cooney; Johnny Coen, David Burke; Cathal Mannion, Jonathan Glynn, Adrian Tuohy; Conor Whelan, Jason Flynn, Brian Concannon.

Comments

Talking about Mattie Kenny and Greg Kennedy being involved with Dublin, David Burke says “I suppose they know how we play and they will set up a plan for us, but our focus will be to build on the Kilkenny result,”

“You can’t beat it – Parnell Park on Saturday evening, it’s what you play for. In the winter months, you’re looking ahead for this, it’s what you play for, It’s very important to win your home games. You could see when we played down in Kilkenny, the crowd got behind them. “We’re looking to give a good account of ourselves in front of a home crowd. The support has been great this year. Against Wexford, you could really see it. The supporters got behind us.” Dublin player Eamonn Dillon told Sky Sports.

Thoughts on the betting

All the money is for Galway, but without Joe Canning and three busy weeks in a row, a tiny bet on Dublin at 2/1 might be the play. 

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