Its the Ulster Final and there has not been much movement in the markets, but the cash has been for Donegal to beat Cavan at 2pm on Sunday.
Cavan are back in the Ulster final for the first time since 2001, when they lost to Tyrone, while Donegal are contesting the final for the eighth time in nine seasons, missing only in 2017. They won in 2011-12-14-18. This will be the first Ulster final between Cavan and Donegal since 1983 when Donegal won by 1-14 to 1-11.
The counties meet in the championship for a second successive year, with Donegal winning a preliminary round game by eight points last year. Mickey Graham, who is in his first season as Cavan manager, came on a sub against Tyrone in the county’s last appearance in the final in 2001 and also in the 1997 final against Derry.
Donegal are seeking to take the Ulster title for the tenth time, having previously won in 1972-74-83-90-92-2011-2012-14-18.
*The winners will advance to the All-Ireland quarter-final (Super 8s) where they will be joined by the Munster champions, the Connacht and Leinster runners-up or Round 4 qualifier winners.
PATHS TO THE FINAL
Cavan 1-13 Monaghan 0-12
Cavan 0-17 Armagh 1-14 (aet) Draw
Cavan 0-23 Armagh 0-17 Replay
Donegal 0-15 Fermanagh 0-9
Donegal 1-16 Tyrone 0-15
Niall Murray 0-12 (0-8 frees), Gearoid Mckiernan 0-10 (0-4 frees), Dara McVeety 0-7
Paddy McBrearty 0-8 (0-3 frees) Michael Murphy O-7 (0-2 frees, 0-1 ’45’) Jamie Brennan 1-4
LAST FIVE CHAMPIONSHIP MEETINGS
2018: Donegal 2-20 Cavan 1-15 (Ulster preliminary round) 2012: Donegal 1-16 Cavan 1-10 (Ulster preliminary round) 2011: Donegal 2-14 Cavan 1-8 (Ulster quarter-final) 2005: Cavan 1-11 Donegal 1-10 (All-Ireland qualifiers) 2002: Donegal 1-17 Cavan 0-15 (Ulster preliminary round)
Donegal have been moving from 2/7 to 4/11 depending on the bookmaker, the best price on Sunday morning is 4/11 with Bet365/Skybet. The top price on Cavan all week has been 7/2 and you can still back them at 7/2 this morning with Paddypower. The draw is top price as usual with Betfred who go 12/1 on most draws.
Betfred have moved from 5/6 on -3 to 8/13 on -3, but you can still back -3 at 10/11 with Betvictor and WilliamHill, you can back Cavan +5 at 1/1 with Betfred.
There will be plenty of rain from just about half time to the end of the match so the total of under/over 33.5 with Paddypower could look very high. We estimate that will be around 29.5 so this might be the bet of the match.
There are no major injury worries for either side, so we expect lots on continuity in play from both sides.
The weather looks like it will play its part so under 33.5 at 5/6 with Paddypower looks the bet