New York GAA players have had a few good years but hosting Mayo may be a different task and the bookies have started with Mayo -19
The strength and depth in the Mayo squad should see them easily win.
Mayo are entering the championship as Allianz League (Div 1) champions for the first time since 2001. They beat Kerry in this year’s final, having earlier won five of seven divisional games.
Jason Doherty was Mayo’s top scorer in the Allianz League on 0-27 (0-20 frees). The top scorers from play were Kevin McLoughlin (2-5), Matthew Ruane (2-4), Diarmuid O’Connor and Fionn McDonagh (1-6 each).
The winners will play Roscommon or Leitrim in the Connacht semi-final on May 26.
The outright betting is pretty pointless in this game as Mayo are 1/33 (Bet Victor & Ladbrokes) and New York can be backed at 50/1 (Paddypower)
New York have beat the handicap in this game for the last three years. So the bookies starting at -19 (Paddypower & Boylesports) looks quite high but any move for either team will be huge as the betting has moved right in this game for the last few years. CHECK BELOW FOR UPDATES
Total points looks huge at 38.5, in bad weather they will be lucky to reach 30pts
Weather forecasts say there is a 60% chance of rain in New York next Sunday so anyone having a bet on -19 or over points I would keep a very close eye on this, because if its wet it’s going to be a lot harder score.
Mayo team v New York: Robert Hennelly; Chris Barrett, Brendan Harrison, Keith Higgins; Patrick Durcan (captain) Lee Keegan, James McCormack; Matthew Ruane, Aidan O’Shea; Evan Regan, Jason Doherty, Fergal Boland; Kevin McLoughlin, Darren Coen, James Carr.
Injured: Diarmuid O’Connor, Keith Higgins and Seamus O’Shea
Useful Quotes from players and managers
“I suppose the view is that New York aren’t as strong as in other years. The turnover of players has been huge. There are plenty of talented footballers over here but they’re just not involved this year for one reason or another,” said Compton.
“It’s not hugely competitive at club level. I got asked into the New York panel at the start of the year but I wasn’t really interested as I needed a break. But I came in around two months ago.
“I suppose I’ve learned that it’s a huge commitment for these New York players. I use to think that the commitment was huge to play for Roscommon but you get well looked after.
“Over here, you’re essentially training for just one game. You’ve no league or challenge matches. You’re depending on in-house games.
“You never know what will happen on any given day but expectations aren’t crazy over here to be honest. We’ll just try and stay in the game for as long as possible and see where it takes us.” Roscommon footballer Cathal Compton who will start for New York
Wednesday/Friday/ Sunday UPDATES
We will have updates on the betting on Wednesday, Friday and Sunday so you can see where the money is going
There is no movement on the outright betting, but Paddpower and Boylesports are now gone to -20 which is a surprise considering the expected rain. But it may indicate Mayo naming a very strong team
Still no movement on handicap but total points is down to 36.5 which looks closer to what may happen
Still no movement on the handicap betting, so the handicap tie looks like it wont be far off.