Kerry will play Mayo in their opening game of the Super 8s in Killarney on Sunday, the money suggests that they should be able to beat Mayo by 2pts or more.
Kerry lost to Galway, drew with Monaghan beat Kildare in last year’s ‘Super 8s’. Mayo were last in the quarter-finals two years ago when they beat Roscommon in a replay. Kerry and Mayo met twice in this year’s Allianz League, with Mayo winning both. They won a Round 6 game by 1-10 to 0-11 and the final by 3-11 to 2-10.
They last met in the championship in 2017 when Mayo won an All-Ireland semi-final replay by five points. The 2014 semi-final also went to a replay, with Kerry winning by three points after extra-time.
PATHS TO THE QUARTER-FINALS
KERRY Kerry 1-15 Clare 0-12
Kerry 1-19 Cork 3-10 (Munster final)
Mayo 1-22 New York 0-4
Roscommon 2-12 Mayo 0-17
Mayo 1-16 Down 1-11
Mayo 2-13 Armagh 1-15
Mayo 2-13 Galway 1-13
Sean O’Shea……..…0-13 (0-11 frees)
David Clifford….…....0-7 (0-2 frees)
Tom O’Sullivan. …1-1
Conor Loftus …1-6 (0-5 frees)
Cillian O’Connor….0-8 (0-7 frees)
LAST FIVE CHAMPIONSHIP MEETINGS
2017: Mayo 2-16 Kerry 0-17 (All-Ireland semi-final)
Replay 2017: Kerry 2-14 Mayo 2-14 (All-Ireland semi-final)
Draw 2014: Kerry 3-16 Mayo 3-13 aet (All-Ireland semi-final)
Replay 2014: Kerry 1-16 Mayo 1-16 All-Ireland semi-final)
Draw 2011: Kerry 1-20 Mayo 1-11 (All-Ireland semi-final)
To our surprise, you can back Kerry -1 at 10/11 with 888sport, this looks great value, if you fancy Mayo they can be backed at +3 at 5/6 with Betfred.
Weather/ Total Points
The total points average for when the two sides meet is 40pts so the over 37.5pts with Paddypower might be some value at 5/6. The weather conditions will be perfect for high scoring.
Either Kerry -1 at 10/11 or over 37.5 total points look the best bets.